FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 13/0300Z 16.5N 108.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 13/1200Z 16.8N 110.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 14/0000Z 16.8N 112.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 14/1200Z 16.7N 115.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 15/0000Z 16.7N 117.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 16/0000Z 17.0N 121.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 17/0000Z 17.3N 124.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 18/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
It is worth noting that this is a fairly conservative intensity forecast, especially if the more favorable upper-level environment predicted by the GFS model verifies.
NHC首报上望70kt,并指出此强度预报可能稍为保守。