The ASCAT-C scatterometer run of 0430Z shows a closed low-level wind
structure, with mean winds between 25 and 30kt in a western semicircle and between 30 and 35kt in
the zone of strong convection.
Over the next 5 days, the risk of formation of a Moderate Tropical Storm is estimated to be
low (10 to 30%) on Monday and very low (less than 10%) thereafter.
这还不升，埋了吧

93S INVEST 240519 1200 2.4S 74.5E SHEM 30 1005

INVEST, SH, S, , , , , 93, 2024, TD, O, 2024051700, 9999999999, , , , , 2, TCFA, 1, SH932024

给他北边那个做嫁衣吧

The tropical disturbance is still evolving almost to the North of Diego Garcia. It is experiencing moderate to strong vertical wind shear.

TPXS11 PGTW 191501
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93S (N OF DIEGO GARCIA)
B. 19/1430Z
C. 2.44S
D. 74.63E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES LOCATED NEAR OR UNDER COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET/PT
AGREES. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
19/0922Z 2.63S 74.63E CWVR
19/1108Z 2.52S 74.52E SSMS
DESSINO

50kt的风切怎么活的

MetOp-B 1435Z

风场支持TS

合理怀疑其实是在20kt左右的风切里（中低风切区距离极近）

93S INVEST 240519 1800 2.4S 75.2E SHEM 30 1004